Global Market Risk & Analytics

About the Role:

The Global Market Risk & Analytics (GMRA) Team sits within the Global Risk Management group (GRM) and has responsibility for understanding, quantifying, and explaining the market risks (related to both price & quantity uncertainty) of all generation assets, structured transactions, and derivative transactions for AES’s global portfolio. The Market Risk Lead plays a key role on this team, serving as a primary interface between GMRA and local risk and commercial teams, as well as with our Governance & Credit Risk colleagues. Our team relies on this individual to develop, maintain, and share subject-matter expertise regarding the nature of local portfolio risks, how they are reflected in our ETRM system, and how those should be modeled in our risk engine.

This role reports to the Director of Global Market Risk & Analytics, within the office of the CRO. The position will utilize and help enhance AES’ quantitative portfolio model and reporting. Through these activities, the Market Risk Lead leads corporate and business-level market and risk management strategy design and execution. A key aspect of this position is a commitment to continuous improvement in the areas of risk reporting, approval processes and technology use.

The position collaborates with Senior Leadership and partners closely with business-level Risk Directors and Commercial, Digital and Finance teams. This is an exciting role with a significant opportunity to make an impact!

Primary Responsibilities:

• Build and maintain a close working relationship with local commercial & risk teams across our global portfolio to facilitate timely and comprehensive sharing of information related to local portfolio market risk.
• Work closely with local risk and commercial teams to improve understanding of the details and nuances of their current and prospective portfolio positions, the local power markets, any models or analyses used to forecast positions or prices, and related market risks. Because we are a global company our market risk responsibilities extend to foreign exchange and interest rate risks as well.
• Collaborate across local teams to develop and consistently apply appropriate valuation methodologies for each asset or transaction type, build a shared understanding of the specific valuation inputs that GMRA needs to produce an accurate global view of market risk, and agree a process for communicating inputs and changes in inputs to GMRA and the ETRM Team.
• Develop excel models, visual tools, sensitivity analyses, etc. (and coach local risk teams in doing the same) to help explain positions and risk to the GRMA & GRM teams.
• Represent GMRA in local risk oversight forums. Be prepared to provide input regarding commercial team explanations or requests that relate to material changes in market risks.
• Work across business functions to validate or improve modeling of existing positions in our ETRM systems and recommend how to model new asset classes as necessary.
• Lead the development and implementation of processes and tools to back test GMRA and local team models and reporting against actual results, investigate & document sources of variances, and recommend modeling improvements to address material sources of variances.
• Take ownership of analyses to explain period-over-period changes in market risk metrics. Determine, describe, investigate, and document underlying drivers of the changes.
• Support efforts to improve GMRA modeling of position and risk in our global risk engine.
• Assist in responding to ad-hoc requests for information, analysis, or explanations related to our risk reporting.
• Assist in identifying gaps in our risk control & risk measurement capabilities and implementing improvements to close those gaps.

Requirements

Need to Have:

• In-depth understanding of drivers of market risk in thermal and renewable generation portfolios including offer and market clearing rules, fuel / weather / load / power price fundamental relationships, and ability to explain these to others.
• Good understanding of sources of FX & interest rate risk in structured transactions, and ability to explain these to others.
• Experience leading the review, risk identification, and specification of position details for thermal and renewable generation assets, related environmental products (carbon credits, RECs, etc.) and energy products (FTRs, capacity, ancillary services, etc.), structured transactions (PPA’s, Tolls, Heat Rate Options, Load-Following supply agreements, Unit Contingency), and derivatives.
• Experience in translating the above into simple risk models such as option equivalent positions, delta-gamma profiles, payoff diagrams, sensitivity models, ETRM system mappings.
• Ability to clearly present and explain the above to different audiences with widely varying subject matter expertise related to market risk.
• Experience developing and implementing processes and tools to regularly back test forecasting models against actuals, collaborating with commercial teams to understand variances, and building consensus around how to address variances.
• Sufficient technical skills to contribute to the design and implementation of automated processes to support the analytical requirements for this role (Excel / VBA for user interface, SQL for data acquisition, VBA or Python for process automation, Excel or Power BI for presentation layer).
• Strong relationship building and collaboration skills. Comfortable both leading deep dive investigations and supporting / mentoring others in these investigations.
• Very effective at communicating complex issues and information to diverse audiences, both verbally and in writing.
• A team player, equally comfortable leading or following as needed to achieve desired outcomes.

Nice to have:

• Experience in building analytics and automating processes using Excel, VBA, Python, SQL, Power BI or something similar.
• Experience in design, development, use of simulated market risk engines used to produce common portfolio market risk metrics including Value at Risk, Margin at Risk, Potential Future Exposure.
• Knowledge of Mexico, Central America, Caribbean, South American power markets.
• Spanish